Following the high-speed, 1.5-mile quad-oval of Texas Motor Speedway, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to the 0.5-mile short track of Bristol Motor Speedway.
Just two weeks after a second brief track in Martinsville, tempers could be short this week and oddsmakers have Kyle Busch keeping his nose clean as a +260 favourite.
BetOnline has Busch as the favored at +260 followed closely by Kyle Larson at +700, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano in +800, and Kevin Harvick and Ryan Blaney in +1200 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Chevrolet has only won two of the past 11 races at Bristol Motor Speedway, while Ford and Toyota split another nine runnings, with Toyota catching five checkered flags and Ford four.
The winner of this race has qualified on the pole in three of the previous eight runnings.
The Busch brothers have won each of the last three races at Bristol with Kurt winning the August running year and Kyle winning the past two. In general, the two have combined for 13 wins at this track.
Kurt Busch (+1600) has won six of his 36 career starts at Bristol, including four of the first seven. The Nevada native won the past running at this track last August but has finished outside the top 10 in 10 of the last 15 races at Bristol.
Kyle Busch (+260) has pushed into victory lane seven times at Bristol in 27 career starts, including two of the last three. However, he has dropped in a few of the previous eight races overall there. He’s led 100 or more laps at four of the last seven runnings at the 0.5-mile track.
I’d stay far from Brad Keselowski (+800) even though he drove to victory lane at Martinsville two weeks ago. The Michigan native has finished outside the top 10 in six straight races in Bristol and has only led in among these runnings for a total of 67 laps.
Chase Elliott (+1500) is a sleeper pick for this particular race. The Georgia native finished fourth in his first start there in 2016 and landed on the podium in the previous running, including top 112 laps. From a value standpoint he is not a bad bet, finishing in the top five in just two of his six starts at Bristol.
My Best Option for your Food City 500
Kyle Busch (+260)
Not an exciting pick this week, but the Nevada native has won 25.9 percent of the 27 career starts at Bristol and has finished inside the top five in 37.0 percentage of these looks. Busch also has two wins already this year to go along with four stage wins. Lastly, he’s directed 100 or more laps in this track in four of the last seven runnings.
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