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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this fight with a lot of benefits over the much smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up almost 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical buildup strategy of Adesanya that can give him a substantial edge. He has a much more diverse arsenal with powerful leg kicks a strong choice against Kelvin, that will have to stay explosive to have any hope closing the distance that is striking. Defensively Adesanya is sound, rolling with punches rather than committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He is a slow starter but turns up the volume when he’s a stronger sense for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing combinations and has used this to score some notable finishes. The quality of Kelvin’s opposition is questionable with a lot of older fighters crumbling after getting captured by his superior speed or cardio. Gastelum includes a wrestling background but hasn’t made a focus of the UFC run. In this fight the dimensions and takedown defense of Adesanya should mean this remains standing. Kelvin has limited paths to victory outside of landing a flush KO shooter and awarded the advantage and protection of Adesanya this does seem unlikely.
Since moving around Middleweight Gastelum has was remarkable regardless of his height and reach. Weidman showed us that dimension can be a large element in which the elderly fighters of this division were unable to press the advantage. Adesanya ought to have the ability to control this battle to keep standing, where he is going to have the ability to style on Gastelum out of range. Round one can be close but past that it’s going to be just one way traffic. A late end or comfy decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These guys clash in what should be a very competitive struggle. Both guys prefer their striking with Holloway’s volume fashion according to Poirier’s technical fundamentals combined with surprising power. The public seem to be over Holloway following his impressive Ortega triumph and the bookie has him lined a significant favourite. While his boxing and boxing is unmatched at 145lb, it could be another story here. Poirier hits very difficult, with much more power than anything Max would have undergone in recent times. If there was a weakness Holloway’s game it is that he takes too many clean shots, and there is no reason a clear one from Poirier can not finish the struggle.
This fight is very likely to start off at Poirier’s favour because he lands the impacting shots and makes use of his reach advantage. Holloway will have to endure until the later rounds in a bid to conquer Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this area and is extremely hard to put away himself. We see this as an early stoppage for Poirier or near decision led into the judges. The middle rounds will be crucial in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is clear, back the more dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself along with their toughest division in the sport.
Bet = Poirier at 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, equally powerful and fast, but his one dimensional gameplan makes him very beatable. Of most concern is that his gas tank that’s quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Additionally his grappling and wrestling is below average. Rountree is coming off a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is very durable and has a fundamental but dangerous striking design himself. The trick to victory is going to be his superior pressure as he can mix in takedowns to wear Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck in the bottom of the ranks in contrast to Anders who lately had aggressive match with the name challenger Santos. Look for him to survive a few early temptations to then implement his wrestling and take over the struggle beyond round one.
Bet = Anders at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this battle with far more expertise but also a 5??? reach drawback. Grant is 34 decades of age and improbable to make massive strides in his entire game. He doesn’t appear very striking with sloppy technique but does have big capability to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is an issue but overall he is the far superior fighter. Start looking for him to deliver a wise game-plan to this one and use his arsenal to outside attack Grant. Jouban has sneaky power himself but a decision is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at just 24 years old has been winning against poor resistance on the regional scene. He appears to be getting a lot of respect from the odds makers, possibly due to his Russian heritage. This is a large step upward against Max Griffin who’s a demanding UFC veteran. He brings strong boxing and electricity and can mix in the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is surely his durability, as he has rocked in most fights, but he’s a fighters attitude for coming back from hardship. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case this is very likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise search for Griffin to box up the inexperienced rookie. At slight underdog chances we enjoy a wager on the more established fighter.
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