What a difference one day makes to its groups that continue to have outside shots berth. Two of these groups, Indians and the Phillies have been enjoying each other at a 3-game inter-league series with the last taking place tonight on ESPN.
Even the Phillies have nine games remaining on their regular season program and track the Milwaukee Brewers with five games for the NL Wild berth that is next. The Wild Card position is held by washington using a lead within the Brewers. The Chicago Cubs have dropped five consecutive games, a few of which have been to the NL Central Division-leading St. Louis Cardinals. The Mets are 4.5-games behind the Brewers after enduring a terrible 3-2 loss to the Cincinnati Reds Saturday.
The Phillies are mathematically alive at the Wild Card chase however needing to jump three groups with just two matches remaining gives them a 0.5% probability of pulling off one of their greatest season-ending wonders of all time.
The Indians have a three-team race together with an Oakland A’s, who also hold the Tampa Bay Rays, who hold the AL Wild Card berth that is second along with the first of 2 AL Wild Card berths. The A’s have won four straight and have a 97.5% probability of winning one of the two Wild Card spots. The Tampa Bay Rays have a probability of producing it and the Indians, who trail the Rays by an individual match, have a probability of earning a Wild Card spot.
The Phillies will have right-handed Vince Velasquez (7-7, 4.89) around the mountain to deal with the Indians lineup along with their starting pitcher right-handed Adam Plutko (7-4, 4.34).
Velasquez is currently showing significant signs of arm exhaustion in his recent starts. Over his past seven starts he has compiled an average match score of 45-points using a lofty 6.60 ERA letting 22 earned runs on 33 hits like six home runs, 12 walks allowed, along with 33 strikeouts crossing 30 innings of work. He has not pitched into the sixth inning in any of his past five starts.
Velasquez has confronted the Indians twice in his profession, but they are irrelevant ones since they had been in 2016 and the 2015 year old.
Plutko has performed well since the All-Star break and notably over his past seven starts where he has averaged a solid 53-point match score using a 3.76 ERA allowing 16 earned runs on 36 hits including five home runs, 12 walks permitted, along with 33 strikeouts spanning 38??1/3 innings of work. He has not faced the Phillies.
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