NASCAR heads to Pennsylvania’s Pocono Raceway for 400 miles in the Tricky Triangle (2 p.m. ET, FS1).
This marks the first of three races this past season at a 2.5-mile apartment track, with both of the other races coming at Pocono again in July, and at Indianapolis Motor Speedway in September.
Underneath the 2019 aero package, expect restarts to be crazy with the draft coming heavily into play. But after the cars get past the first couple of hands, passing may become difficult, according to Martin Truex Jr..
That doesn’t indicate a car can’t come in the back of the field to the front. Since 2005, nine drivers have won from a starting position of 12th or worse in 28 races, while nine drivers have won from the front .
Pit strategy often comes into play at Pocono, and as an excess wrinkle, there’s a 50% chance of rain beginning at 11 a.m. local time and lasting all of the way through the evening. That means racing could be hard and aggressive after the second stage, and approach can come into play even greater than usual.
1 key factor I am looking at is practice. Throughout the Gen-6 era of 2013 to current, 10 of those 12 Pocono race winners have met at least one of the two following standards:
Last practice 10-lap average inside the top five
Single-lap speed averaged over all clinic sessions inside the top eight
With all this said, here are just two outright value bets to win the Pocono 400.
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